The following info comes from a web site called http://thecaseforronpaul.com/default.aspx.Please check it out after you read the info below.
Wouldn’t a "long shot" candidate that polls at less than 5% nationally be expected to finish consistently near the bottom of every straw poll?
Facts:
Ron Paul has finished in the top 3 in 83% of the straw polls (38 out of 46)
Ron Paul has finished in the top 2 in 67% of the straw polls (31 out of 46)
Ron Paul has finished 1st in 54% of the straw polls (25 out of 46)
winning 25 out of 46 is 54%
winning 6 out of 46 is 13%
winning 2 out of 46 is 4%
Wouldn’t winning just 2 straw polls be a huge success?
Even if a candidate were to win their “fair share” of 1 out of 8, winning 6 straw polls would be fantastic.
Ron Paul won 25 out of 46 straw polls, how does a "long shot" candidate win 54% of the straw polls?
Ron Paul would seem to be a "top tier" candidate according to the straw polls.
Republican Debates
These polls reflect the public opinion of voters that watched the debates. This is where the citizens see the candidates side by side and decide for themselves who they like.
Facts:
The web polls were blocked from receiving more than one vote per IP address or computer
The text polls were blocked from receiving more than one vote per telephone number
If Giuliani and Romney are the frontrunners as the media says, why don't the debate polls reflect that?
May 3, 2007 - Simi Valley, California
MSNBC
Online Poll Vote Results - MSNBC.com
Ron Paul received the most votes from the MSNBC voters in all but two categories: "most rehearsed answers," who was John McCain, and "who avoided the questions" who was Rudy Giuliani.
Who stood out from the pack?
Ron Paul 47%
Mitt Romney 19%
John McCain 6.7%
Who showed the most leadership qualities?
Ron Paul 42%
Mitt Romney 18%
Rudy Giuliani 15%
Who was the most convincing candidate?
Ron Paul 45%
Mitt Romney 18%
Rudy Giuliani 13%
source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18661804/
May 15, 2007 - Columbia, South Carolina
FOX News
Text Poll Vote Results
Who won the debate?
Mitt Romney 29%
Ron Paul 25%
Rudy Giuliani 19%
source: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,272493,00.html
June 5, 2007 - Manchester, New Hampshire
CNN
Online Poll Vote Results - CNN.com
Ron Paul received the most votes from the CNN voters in all but two categories: "snappiest dresser," who was Mitt Romney, and "most disappointing performance" who was Rudy Giuliani.
Who do you think won the debate?
Ron Paul 60%
Who seemed to know most about the issues?
Ron Paul 59%
Whose performance was most surprising?
Ron Paul 39%
Whose campaign got the biggest boost from the debate?
Ron Paul 55%
source: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/debates/scorecard/gop.debate/results.html
August 5, 2007 - Des Moines, Iowa
ABC
Online Poll Vote Results
Ron Paul won the debate with 63% of votes. Paul's vote total was nearly eight times as many as runner-up Romney. Now the poll results website show nothing.
source: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Decision2008/popup?id=3436820
ABC TV apparently reset its tally of who won the Republican debate it broadcast on August 5, Sunday morning.
At 10 AM EST, Congressman Ron Paul (R-Tex) was winning the debate with over 1,000 votes. Mitt Romney was next with 106. After the debate at approximately 11:10 AM EST when the tally was rechecked, ABC showed Ron Paul had just 445 votes. Second was “Nobody Won. I’m Voting Democratic.”
DrudgeReport.com put up a post-debate poll that showed Ron Paul winning the debate by wide margins (with 45% of the vote) as of 12:30 PM EST. Ron Paul continued to pull away in the ABC TV poll as well, despite the apparent tampering.
source: http://www.freemarketnews.com/WorldNews.asp?nid=46813
September 5, 2007 - Durham, New Hampshire
FOX News
Text Poll Vote Results
Who won the debate?
Ron Paul 33%
Mike Huckabee 18%
Rudy Giuliani 15%
source: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fSzWzrxUtjU&eurl=http://www.voteronpaul.net/?q=node/77
September 17, 2007 - Fort Lauderdale, Florida
Sky Angel
The First Ever Values Voter Presidential Debate Straw Poll, held last night at the Broward Center for the Performing Arts in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, declared Governor Mike Huckabee as the pro-family winner.
Mike Huckabee 63%
Ron Paul 12%
Alan Keyes 7%
source: http://www.valuesvoterdebate.com/
September 27, 2007 - Baltimore, Maryland
PBS
No poll?
October 9, 2007 - Dearborn, Michigan
CNBC
Online Poll Vote Results - CNBC.com
According to online CNBC.com poll, which was taken down after several hours when total number of votes were over 7,500. Ron Paul received over 70% of the votes in all three categories.
Which candidate won the debate?
Ron Paul 74%
Mike Huckabee 7.2%
Mitt Romney 5.7%
If the GOP primary was to be held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Ron Paul 75%
Mike Huckabee 7.2%
Fred Thompson 5.7%
Which Republican candidate is best for your money?
Ron Paul 75%
Mike Huckabee 7.3%
Mitt Romney 5.7%
source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/21209903
October 16, 2007 - Washington, D.C.
The Republican Jewish Coalition debate at the Grand Hyatt Hotel Independence Ballroom featured five candidates: Sam Brownback, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson. The Jewish Telegraphic Agency reported that sources close to the RJC leadership said that Paul was excluded due to his "record of consistently voting against assistance to Israel and his criticisms of the pro-Israel lobby".
October 21, 2007 - Orlando, Florida
FOX News
Text Poll Vote Results
Who won the debate?
Ron Paul 34%
Mike Huckabee 27%
Rudy Giuliani 11%
November 28, 2007 - St. Petersburg, Florida
CNN
Online Poll Vote Results - CNN.com
Ron Paul received the most votes from the CNN voters in all but one category:
"most disappointing performance" who was Rudy Giuliani.
Who do you think won the debate?
Ron Paul 51%
Who seemed to know most about the issues?
Ron Paul 50%
Who had the best response to user-generated content?
Ron Paul 47%
Whose performance was most surprising?
Ron Paul 37%
Whose campaign got the biggest boost from the debate?
Ron Paul 46%
Who had the most creative campaign video?
Ron Paul 44%
Web Traffic?
Please examine the amount of web traffic to each candidate site according to Hitwise, Google Trends, Compete, Alexa and Quantcast.
http://www.ronpaul2008.com/
http://www.joinrudy2008.com/http://www.fred08.com/http://www.mittromney.com/
http://www.johnmccain.com/
Facts:
RonPaul2008.com gets more unique vistors than all other Republican candidates
RonPaul2008.com gets more page views than all other Republican candidates
Does it make sense that a "long shot" candidate would consistantly dominate the "top tier" candidates in web traffic?
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